CryptoQuant: In the past month, $12 billion has flowed out of the Bitcoin network, with loss-making trades dominating the market
CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin's realized market cap 30-day change rate has dropped to -1.1%, marking the first time since mid-March that capital outflow has reached this level. From a peak of approximately $1.087 trillion in mid-May, the realized market cap has decreased by about $12 billion to $1.075 trillion. The contraction rate has noticeably accelerated: on June 1, this metric was -0.15%, and by June 8, it had fallen to -1.1%. During the same period, the BTC price dropped from $82,000 to $63,000, a decline of 23%. The current outflow rate is now comparable to the beginning of the capitulation in March, when this metric reached -2.4%, indicating there is still room for deterioration.
The aSOPR 30-day moving average has been below 1 for 13 consecutive days since it fell below 1 on May 28, currently at 0.987, indicating an average loss of about 1.3% per transaction. The long-term aSOPR below 1 is a classic sign of weak hands being flushed out, with sellers still dominating until it rises back to 1. The combination of these two indicators defines the capitulation phase: capital is flowing out of the network, driven by loss sales.
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